Basically the opposite of "Playing the Bands" and betting on reversion to the mean is playing Bollinger Band breakouts. Breakouts occur after a period of consolidation, when price closes outside of the Bollinger Bands. Other indicators such as support and resistance lines (see: Support & Resistance) can prove beneficial when deciding whether or not to buy or sell in the direction of the breakout.
The chart of Wal-Mart (WMT) below shows two such Bollinger Band breakouts: |
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Price breaks above the upper Bollinger Band after a period of price consolidation. Other confirming indicators are suggested, such as resistance being broken in the chart above of Wal-Mart stock.
Price breaks below the lower Bollinger Band. It is suggested that other confirming indicators be used, such as a support line being broken, such as in the example above of Wal-Mart stock breaking below support.
This strategy is discussed by the man who created Bollinger Bands, John Bollinger, in his book
Bollinger Bands can also be used to determine the direction and the strength of the trend. The chart below of the E-mini S&P 500 Futures contract shows a strong upward trend:
The chart above of the E-mini S&P 500 shows that during a strong uptrend, prices tend to stay in the upper half of the Bollinger Band, where the 20-period moving average (Bollinger Band centerline) acts as support for the price trend.
The reverse would be true during a downtrend, where prices would be in the lower half of the Bollinger Band and the 20-period moving average would act as downward resistance.
Bollinger Bands adapt to volatility and thus are useful to options traders, specifically volatility traders. The next page describes how to use Bollinger Bands to make better options trades.
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